Average Return Calculator

Calculate the average return of an investment from a series of annual returns — both the arithmetic mean and the more accurate geometric mean (CAGR), plus the cumulative total return.

Average Return Calculator

Arithmetic & geometric mean

Enter each year's percentage return, e.g. 12, -8, 22. Negative years are allowed.

Geometric Mean (CAGR)
Arithmetic Mean
Cumulative Total Return
Number of Years
$10,000 Would Become

Arithmetic vs Geometric Average Return

There are two ways to average investment returns, and they answer different questions. The arithmetic mean is the simple average of each year's return — useful for estimating a typical year. The geometric mean (also called CAGR, compound annual growth rate) accounts for compounding and is the rate that actually turns your starting balance into your ending balance. The geometric mean is always less than or equal to the arithmetic mean, and the gap widens with volatility.

For example, returns of +12%, −8%, +22%, +5%, +15% have an arithmetic average of 9.2%, but a geometric mean of about 8.7% — the geometric figure is what your money truly compounded at. This is why a fund that gains 50% then loses 50% has a 0% arithmetic average but actually lost 25% of your money (geometric −13.4%). For measuring real, realized investment performance, always use the geometric mean.

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Arithmetic Mean

The simple average of yearly returns. Good for estimating a single typical year, but it overstates compounded growth.

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Geometric Mean (CAGR)

The true compound growth rate that links your start and end values. The honest measure of realized return.

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Volatility Drag

The more returns swing up and down, the more the geometric mean falls below the arithmetic mean — volatility quietly erodes compounding.

FAQ

Use the geometric mean (CAGR) to measure how your money actually grew over a period — it accounts for compounding. The arithmetic mean is only appropriate for estimating the expected return of a single future year, and it overstates multi-year compounded growth, especially for volatile investments.
Because losses hurt more than equal-sized gains help. A 50% loss requires a 100% gain to recover, not 50%. This asymmetry — called volatility drag — pulls the compounded (geometric) return below the simple (arithmetic) average whenever returns vary from year to year.
Type each year's percentage return separated by commas — for example "12, -8, 22, 5". Use negative numbers for down years. The calculator computes both averages, the cumulative total return, and shows what $10,000 would have become.

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✔ Reviewed by the True Value Calc editorial team🗓 Last updated June 2026📚 Sources: Peer-reviewed formulas & official U.S. government data